能源電力規(guī)劃工程原理與應用

目 錄
 
第1章 緒論 ·················1
 
 1.1 背景及意義 ··2
 
 1.2 國內外能源電力及發(fā)展規(guī)劃歷程 ·············3
 
1.2.1 我國國民經(jīng)濟和社會發(fā)展的變遷與發(fā)展 ············3
 
1.2.2 國內外能源電力規(guī)劃發(fā)展歷程及展望 ···············5
 
 1.3 新常態(tài)下我國能源電力規(guī)劃工程重大舉措 ·9
 
1.3.1 能源發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略行動計劃（2014—2020年） ·········9
 
1.3.2 進電能替代的方針政策 ·······················15
 
1.3.3 我國全面實施電力規(guī)劃管理辦法 ····················18
 
 1.4 新時期能源電力規(guī)劃工程面臨的形勢 ·····23
 
1.4.1 能源電力發(fā)展面臨轉型升級的新機遇 ··············23
 
1.4.2 市場經(jīng)濟條件下中長期規(guī)劃的新思路 ··············27
 
1.4.3 能源電力規(guī)劃工程面臨的形勢及主要問題 ········30
 
第2章 能源電力規(guī)劃工程基本理論 ···················34
 
 2.1 能源電力規(guī)劃工程的基本概念 ··············35
 
2.1.1 能源電力規(guī)劃工程系統(tǒng)動力學原理模型 ···········35
 
2.1.2 能源電力規(guī)劃工程要處理的八大關系 ··············37
 
2.1.3 系統(tǒng)工程理論在電力規(guī)劃工程中的應用 ···········42
 
 2.2 能源規(guī)劃工程理論及方法論 ·················46
 
2.2.1 能源規(guī)劃工程的基本概念 ·····························46
 
2.2.2 能源規(guī)劃工程的目標及分類 ··························46
 
 
2.2.3 能源規(guī)劃工程的內容原則 ·····························49
2.2.4 能源規(guī)劃工程的實施步驟 ·····························51
第3章 能源電力規(guī)劃工程基礎知識 ···················54
 
 3.1 能源與新能源基礎知識 ·······················55
3.1.1 能源電力的基本定義 ···································55
3.1.2 化石能源 ···········56
3.1.3 清潔能源 ···········58
3.2 能源電力行業(yè)發(fā)展面臨的形勢與挑戰(zhàn) ·····60
3.2.1 我國電力供需形勢分析 ································60
3.2.2 我國新能源發(fā)展與展望（2016—2020年） ········65
3.3 能源電力與綠色發(fā)展 ··························68
3.3.1 能源電力規(guī)劃與綠色發(fā)展 ·····························68
3.3.2 綠色發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展 ·····························71
3.3.3 綠色經(jīng)濟與綠色能源 ···································73
第4章 國家能源安全與發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略 ······················77
 
 4.1 中國能源安全與發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略面臨的新挑戰(zhàn) ··78
4.1.1 能源安全與發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的基本概念 ····················78
4.1.2 國內外能源安全“三要素”比較分析 ··············80
4.1.3 我國能源安全面臨的主要挑戰(zhàn) ·······················81
4.2 世界主要發(fā)達國家能源戰(zhàn)略的演變及趨勢 ······································82
4.2.1 美國通過立法推動能源戰(zhàn)略轉型 ····················82
4.2.2 法國實施3E能源政策 ··································84
4.2.3 德國不斷進行能源結構調整 ··························85
4.2.4 日本通過政策設計約束能源發(fā)展 ····················86
4.2.5 英國推動市場化低碳經(jīng)濟 ·····························87
4.3 世界能源展望（2016—2030年） ············88
4.3.1 人口增速正在放緩，能源效率加速提高 ···········88
4.3.2 消費增長日益依靠非化石燃料 ······················89
4.3.3 液體燃料需求增速逐步放緩 ··························90
4.4 能源戰(zhàn)略與能源安全 ··························91
4.4.1 全球能源格局與能源發(fā)展趨勢 ·······················92
 
4.4.2 中國能源現(xiàn)狀及面臨的困難 ··························93
 
4.4.3 中國能源需求對策與戰(zhàn)略設計 ·······················95
 
 4.5 中國的能源安全與能源戰(zhàn)略 ·················97
 
4.5.1 科學供給滿足合理的需求 ·····························97
 
4.5.2 尊重能源開發(fā)與能源消費規(guī)律 ·······················98
 
4.5.3 我國能源安全與發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的展望 ··················101
 
第5章 能源電力規(guī)劃信息平臺與應用 ··············104
 
 5.1 能源電力規(guī)劃信息平臺基礎知識 ··········105
 
5.1.1 信息技術與信息科學 ·································105
 
5.1.2 信息工程的基本原理 ·································107
 
5.1.3 PEST分析模型 ··108
 
5.1.4 SWOT分析模型 ·······································110
 
 5.2 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃基礎數(shù)據(jù)庫的設計方法 ··········112
 
5.2.1 規(guī)劃基礎數(shù)據(jù)存在的主要問題 ·····················112
 
5.2.2 需求分析與平臺目標 ·································113
 
5.2.3 基礎數(shù)據(jù)庫設計方案 ·································116
 
5.2.4 數(shù)據(jù)庫平臺的主要功能 ······························119
 
5.2.5 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃基礎數(shù)據(jù)庫實施方案 ·····················121
 
 5.3 遼寧電力規(guī)劃信息平臺實施案例 ··········122
 
5.3.1 ERP計劃管理模塊與規(guī)劃計劃系統(tǒng) ···············122
 
5.3.2 大規(guī)劃與“四大平臺”系統(tǒng)的建設與應用 ······128
 
第6章 能源規(guī)劃工程技術與應用 ·····················133
 
 6.1 能源規(guī)劃的基礎知識 ·························134
 
6.1.1 能源規(guī)劃工程的基本概念 ···························134
 
6.1.2 全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)及其關鍵技術 ·····················135
 
6.1.3 世界能源分布情況與發(fā)展趨勢 ·····················136
 
 6.2 國家“十三五”能源規(guī)劃工程策略 ·······140
 
6.2.1 我國省級能源發(fā)展規(guī)劃管理辦法 ··················140
 
6.2.2 推進“互聯(lián)網(wǎng) ”智慧能源發(fā)展重點任務 ·······143
 
 
6.2.3 新常態(tài)下能源規(guī)劃工程的新挑戰(zhàn) ·················· 149
 
 6.3 遼寧省“十三五”能源發(fā)展規(guī)劃案例 ····151
 
6.3.1 遼寧省能源工業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 ··························· 151
 
6.3.2 遼寧省能源發(fā)展形勢分析 ··························· 154
 
6.3.3 能源供需總量及結構預測分析 ····················· 155
 
6.3.4 能源發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略方針及目標 ························ 157
 
6.3.5 “十三五”能源規(guī)劃的重點任務 ·················· 158
 
第7章 電力規(guī)劃工程技術與應用·····················163
 
 7.1 電力規(guī)劃工程技術基礎知識 ················164
 
7.1.1 電力系統(tǒng)規(guī)劃工程設計原理 ························ 164
 
7.1.2 優(yōu)化理論在電力規(guī)劃和需求側管理中的應用 ··· 166
 
7.1.3 系統(tǒng)工程理論與電力規(guī)劃設計方法 ··············· 168
 
 7.2 電力規(guī)劃工程應用技術與方法 ·············172
 
7.2.1 電力市場條件下的電力規(guī)劃工程 ·················· 172
 
7.2.2 電力系統(tǒng)綜合負荷預測技術 ························ 175
 
7.2.3 2020年我國電力發(fā)展規(guī)劃與預測 ·················· 179
 
 7.3 遼寧省“十三五”電力發(fā)展規(guī)劃案例 ····180
 
7.3.1 遼寧省電力工業(yè)發(fā)展環(huán)境分析 ····················· 180
 
7.3.2 電源建設空間分析及規(guī)劃方案 ····················· 183
 
7.3.3 電網(wǎng)發(fā)展規(guī)劃原則與實施方案 ····················· 185
 
7.3.4 “十三五”期間電力發(fā)展主要措施 ··············· 186
 
第8章 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃工程技術與應用·····················187
 
 8.1 電力網(wǎng)絡規(guī)劃工程設計基本知識 ··········188
 
8.1.1 電力網(wǎng)絡規(guī)劃工程設計基本方法 ·················· 188
 
8.1.2 配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃分區(qū)電力負荷預測方法 ··············· 191
 
8.1.3 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃工程設計的基本要求 ····················· 194
 
 8.2 城鄉(xiāng)配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃工程技術規(guī)范 ·············200
 
8.2.1 城鄉(xiāng)配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃基本規(guī)劃要求 ····················· 201
 
8.2.2 城鄉(xiāng)配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃技術原則 ··························· 202
 
8.2.3 高壓配電網(wǎng) ······ 204
 
8.2.4 中壓配電網(wǎng) ······206
 
8.2.5 低壓配電網(wǎng) ······208
 
8.2.6 用戶接入 ·········209
 
8.2.7 分布式電源接入 ·······································210
 
8.2.8 配電網(wǎng)智能化 ···210
 
 8.3 遼寧省“十三五”電網(wǎng)發(fā)展規(guī)劃案例 ····211
 
8.3.1 電網(wǎng)發(fā)展概況 ···211
 
8.3.2 電力需求預測分析 ····································212
 
8.3.3 能源布局和電力流 ····································212
 
8.3.4 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃指導思想、總體思路和發(fā)展目標 ······213
 
8.3.5 主網(wǎng)架規(guī)劃 ······215
 
8.3.6 220千伏電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃 ·····································216
 
8.3.7 配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃 ······217
 
第9章 大型電力企業(yè)規(guī)劃工程與應用 ··············220
 
 9.1 企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃理論與方法 ···················221
 
9.1.1 企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的基本概念 ···························221
 
9.1.2 戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的制訂原則、方式和內容 ···············222
 
9.1.3 制訂戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的步驟及評估方法 ··················223
 
9.1.4 企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的21步法 ······························225
 
 9.2 企業(yè)規(guī)劃管理及質量優(yōu)化方法 ·············227
 
9.2.1 大型企業(yè)集團公司規(guī)劃管理工作辦法 ············227
 
9.2.2 編制戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的優(yōu)化方法 ···························231
 
9.2.3 規(guī)劃企業(yè)愿景的方法論框架 ·····················234
 
 9.3 大型電力企業(yè)“十三五”發(fā)展規(guī)劃案例 ·236
 
9.3.1 企業(yè)“十三五”發(fā)展規(guī)劃編制概況 ···············236
 
9.3.2 企業(yè)發(fā)展面臨的形勢和挑戰(zhàn) ························237
 
9.3.3 “十三五”期間企業(yè)發(fā)展規(guī)劃的重點任務 ······238
 
9.3.4 “十三五”規(guī)劃效果分析 ···························243
 
9.3.5 “十三五”規(guī)劃實施風險分析 ·····················244
 
 
第10章 能源電力規(guī)劃工程項目管理與應用 ·····246
 
 10.1 能源電力規(guī)劃項目管理基礎理論 ·········247
 
10.1.1 能源電力規(guī)劃工程的基本特征 ··················· 247
 
10.1.2 “階段性、時效性、持久性”總體實施策略 · 250
 
10.1.3 能源電力規(guī)劃工程總體實施策略模型 ·········· 251
 
 10.2 能源電力規(guī)劃工程策略與管理規(guī)范 ······254
 
10.2.1 電力規(guī)劃研究工作管理辦法 ······················ 254
 
10.2.2 電力發(fā)展規(guī)劃工程管理工作指南 ················ 258
 
10.2.3 火電、電網(wǎng)項目規(guī)劃建設管理規(guī)定 ············· 261
 
 10.3 能源電力規(guī)劃工程項目管理典型案例 ···265
 
10.3.1 項目及項目管理的基本概念 ······················ 265
 
10.3.2 能源電力規(guī)劃工程的項目管理 ··················· 267
 
10.3.3 能源電力規(guī)劃項目計劃的綜合論證 ············· 268
 
10.3.4 能源電力規(guī)劃項目立項前期準備 ················ 270
 
10.3.5 能源電力規(guī)劃工程過程管理 ······················ 270
 
參考文獻 ····················273